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AI makes stunning prediction for who will win America's 2028 presidential election

Home> News> AI

Published 16:51 17 Feb 2026 GMT

AI makes stunning prediction for who will win America's 2028 presidential election

Will there be four more years of Republican rule?

Tom Chapman

Tom Chapman

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Featured Image Credit: BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI / Contributor / Getty
Politics
AI
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President Donald Trump might've only been back in the White House for just over a year, and although there are three more left, it'll be time to choose our next President of the United States before we know it.

After besting Kamala Harris in the 2024 United States presidential election, the Republican Party snatched the White House back from the Democrats, as Donald Trump reinstated his Diet Coke button on the Resolute Desk.

At the age of 78 years and seven months, Trump was the oldest inaugurated president, although he's already teased that he could run again. That would involve changing the constitution, although some think he could use a loophole to run as vice president and then take the role if the president immediately resigned. Despite being two years away from the 2028 presidential election, there's already a lot of buzz about who could lead the USA next. Erika Kirk has already put her money on JD Vance, with the current vice president seemingly a frontrunner for the Republican Party.

Odds that Kamala Harris will run again continue to increase (Mario Tama / Staff / Getty)
Odds that Kamala Harris will run again continue to increase (Mario Tama / Staff / Getty)

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The Election Time YouTube channel went to ask artificial intelligence what it thinks, with Elon Musk's controversial Grok theorizing about who'll be our next POTUS.

Having already tried the video with ChatGPT, Election Time turned to Grok as a supposedly 'sassier' LLM.

Picking the candidates, the Democrats offered up former Vice President Kamala Harris, who actually leads the way in early primary polls. Other potentials include Gavin Newsom, with the Governor of California never afraid to let people know what he thinks of Donald Trump. Third is former United States Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Josh Shapiro, JB Pritzker, Cory Booker, and Tim Walz.

While it's not locked, the market odds from Kelshi suggest there's currently a 56% chance that Harris will run again in the next election.

For the Republicans, JD Vance is leading the polls, with other candidates including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Florida's Governor Ron DeSantis, although the video says many think it's unlikely Donald Trump Jr. will actually run.

Grok goes with the idea that it'll be Harris versus Vance, highlighting her solid states as ones similar to her 2024 run. It predicts Harris would win by 15 points or more in the likes of California, Washington, Hawaii, Vermont, and Massachusetts. It should be plain sailing for Vance in states that include Utah, Idaho, Kansas, and Oklahoma.

One big talking point is Ohio, which hasn't been a solid state for either party in over 20 years. Still, with Vance being born there and Trump securing a double-digit margin in 2024, Grok thinks it'll go red.

Despite talk of Texas going further left, we're reminded that Trump won the Lone Star State by nearly 14 points in 2024, which is around three times his 2020 margin.

Grok maintains that the battleground map will shift more into the Midwest, while the former Democratic stronghold of New England will also become fought over more in 2028.

Ultimately, Grok predicts Vance securing victory with 326 electoral votes compared to Harris' 212, with the former winning every state Trump did in 2024, as well as Minnesota and New Hampshire.

Even though this would make JD Vance the next President of the United States, let's remember that we have to find out who'll actually be running first. Also, AI predicting a map of votes is all well and good, but as we've seen from previous elections, it can all change on the day.

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