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First-ever supercomputer simulation predicts when climate change will end mankind

Home> News

Published 16:05 15 May 2024 GMT+1

First-ever supercomputer simulation predicts when climate change will end mankind

It's a while off, but the issue should be addressed urgently.

Rebekah Jordan

Rebekah Jordan

Climate change has been the talk for decades with pressures on nations, governments and the public to find sustainable solutions - before the fate of our planet is out of our hands.

If the doomsday clock isn't enough to scare people into showcasing how close we are for humanity to end because of climate change... maybe a supercomputer will.

As part of a study, the supercomputer analysed data on the Earth's climate, and tectonic plates, as well as the ocean's chemistry and biology.

Although, despite the UN climate chief announcing that we have 'two years left to save the world', the end is not as near as you might be thinking.

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Researchers from the University of Bristol presented a distant future where climate change could potentially eradicate humanity - a picture that looks very different from Earth today.

Yuichiro Chino/Getty
Yuichiro Chino/Getty

They predict that tectonic plates will shift and merge to form a new supercontinent called Pangea Ultima.

Dr. Alexander Farnsworth said: 'The newly-emerged supercontinent would effectively create a triple whammy, comprising the continentality effect, hotter sun and more CO2 in the atmosphere, of increasing heat for much of the planet.

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This would result in a 'mostly hostile environment devoid of food and water sources for mammals.'

Farnsworth continued: 'Widespread temperatures of between 40 to 50 degrees Celsius, and even greater daily extremes, compounded by high levels of humidity would ultimately seal our fate.'

Meaning that all mammals including humans would 'expire due to their inability to shed this heat through sweat, cooling their bodies.'

Jasmin Merdan/ Getty
Jasmin Merdan/ Getty

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By this time, only 8 - 16% of the future land would be habitable, with frequent volcanic eruptions, and a much hotter climate due to the brighter sun.

The new environmental conditions would be immensely difficult for a lot of species to adapt to.

Ultimately though, the supercomputer predicted the apocalypse won't happen for another 250 million years.

But that shouldn't relax people too much. The researchers stressed that this long-term forecast should not detract people from the urgency to address climate change as soon as possible.

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'It is vitally important not to lose sight of our current Climate Crisis, which is a result of human emissions of greenhouse gases,' added study co-author Dr. Eunice Lo.

'While we are predicting an uninhabitable planet in 250 million years, today we are already experiencing extreme heat that is detrimental to human health.

'This is why it is crucial to reach net-zero emissions as soon as possible.'

Featured Image Credit: Yuichiro Chino/Jasmin Merdan/ Getty
Climate change

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